This Elliott Wave blog is dedicated to sharing Fibonacci ratios and other technical analysis for forex signals, index futures signals, options signals, and stock signals. Elliott Wave Principle puts forth that people move in predictive patterns, called waves. Identify the wave counts, and you can predict the market.
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Evidence of Major Dollar Bottom Mounting
The USD/CHF, which almost mirrors the US Dollar Index (DXY or USDX) has rallied now in a clear 5 wave impulsive pattern suggesting that the US dollar has most likely formed a multi-month/year bottom. The decline can count complete with a 5th wave ending diagonal within another 5 wave decline within a C wave. The rally from the bottom has now done so in a clear 5 wave impulsive pattern, breaking, and so far holding above, a key trendline that has capped the decline since October 1st. But with 5 waves up that MAY be complete here, a small correction is possible, and the trendline is an obvious target for wave (ii) to find a bottom before an even stronger rally gets underway.
The evidence is mounting that a long term dollar bottom is in. Evidence supports the bulls, and any pullback in the USD/CHF I'd buy with a stop below 1.0032. If the larger wave count is correct on the dollar, it can rally 2500-3000 pips against its euro and swiss franc counterparts in the coming months!
The EUR/USD also broken through the key level of 1.4828 I mentioned yesterday that would give a strong indication that the euro topped against the dollar. A short EUR/USD position could be established with a stop just above the 1.5062 high.
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