Wednesday, May 25, 2011
Stock Trend Remains Down, Although a High Confidence Wave Count is Elusive; Euro Trend Down
Today's action was bearish in my view. The internals showed mild total volume, but not as light as earlier in the week when we were in the 800s million shares. But up vs down volume was only slightly bullish and the advancers vs decliners were mildly bullish. Yet you'd think the market would look stronger than that internally since the whole trading day seemed like it had its rally jets on as it continually floated higher. But it didn't. Today' rise appears corrective when looking at it internally compared to the price action. And when you add the fact that the gains the market made today fell apart sharply at the end of the day, price action also lends itself to a bearish day. So even though the markets closed up today, it was not an impressive move higher by any means.
There's not much new to add here from Monday's post. Tuesday was a nothing day, and today wasn't much better in helping us get a high confidence wave count. Today's move higher looks corrective, and although it may float higher tomorrow and Friday, as long as it stays below 1346.82 then I'm short term bearish overall.
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The euro appears to be completing a 3 wave rise for wave ii within wave (iii). IF the euro continues higher, it should be short lived and give way to immediate sharp selling well below 1.4000. On a short term basis I'd be shorting rallies against the wave (ii) high at 1.4344.
PLEASE NOTE: THIS IS JUST AN ANALYSIS BLOG AND IN NO WAY GUARANTEES OR IMPLIES ANY PROFIT OR GAIN. THE DATA HERE IS MERELY AN EXPRESSED OPINION. TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK.