Thursday, May 19, 2011

Stocks Failing to Follow Through to the Upside; Euro Looking Vulnerable



Internals posted above.  You can see there is light volume today suggesting a lack of enthusiasm towards moving the market higher after yesterday's surge.  But closing higher on the day has kept me on the sidelines from getting short.  The short term has a slight bullish bias to it while the longer term indicators are slanted to the bearish side (especially momentum).  Below is what was posted mid-day today.



Stocks so far are failing to follow through with yesterday's rally.  A sharp reversal and new swing low would be a welcome sign for the bears, but right now we don't have it.  Still watching, waiting.

The euro on the other hand is looking very weak and vulnerable to a selloff as you can see from the above chart.  The price action is choppy and starting to struggle significantly.  The RSI reflects that struggle as it is now diverging from price on the hourly chart.  I like shorting this pair on a break below 1.4200 and then placing a stop just above 1.4300.  I think that breaking down below 1.4200 would be a good enough sign that the pair is probably breaking down to where I can put some money on it and potentially get some huge gains real quick with minimal risk.

EUR/USD: Falling on "Risk Aversion"? Let's Look at the Timeline First


PLEASE NOTE: THIS IS JUST AN ANALYSIS BLOG AND IN NO WAY GUARANTEES OR IMPLIES ANY PROFIT OR GAIN. THE DATA HERE IS MERELY AN EXPRESSED OPINION. TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK.

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