This Elliott Wave blog is dedicated to sharing Fibonacci ratios and other technical analysis for forex signals, index futures signals, options signals, and stock signals. Elliott Wave Principle puts forth that people move in predictive patterns, called waves. Identify the wave counts, and you can predict the market.
Thursday, July 31, 2008
July 31, 2008; 5 Wave Declines
I said I'd post a chart that shows the 5 wave impulsive declines I saw in today's trading and so here it is as promised (the wave count degree is not to scale). Notice the clean and clear 5 wave drops throughout the day on this 5 minute Dow emini chart. Also notice corrections 2 and (ii) are in three waves, or are choppy and overlapping. These are clearly corrections. So if you have a series of clear 5 wave drops, and the rallies are choppy and/or in 3 waves, then that tells us the larger trend is down.
It may be too early to say that the huge big daddy decline in wave 3 of (3) has begun already. But it's clear the larger trend in the short term is down, and market technicals are weakening significantly.
I will short the market every time I see a 5 wave decline with a stop loss at the recent swing high. I will keep doing this and getting stopped out until I catch the wave 3 of (3) decline. The decline will be so massive and fast that I can gets stopped out numerous times and still make a big profit once the wave gets going. And it will get going soon!
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