This Elliott Wave blog is dedicated to sharing Fibonacci ratios and other technical analysis for forex signals, index futures signals, options signals, and stock signals. Elliott Wave Principle puts forth that people move in predictive patterns, called waves. Identify the wave counts, and you can predict the market.
Monday, November 24, 2008
Momentum Indicators Show Severe Weakness; Nov. 24, 2008
After observing the 15min. S&P futures charts I see a severe divergence already building into the rally From late Friday into today. Observe the above 3 charts which have various momentum indicators on them. Notice that on all 3, the price of the S&P futures rises (see ascending blue line) yet the momentum indicators fall (see descending blue line). Most importantly, the RSI indicator (red) is showing a severe bearish divergence as well. Often times when a rally or selloff moves very far very fast, divergence occurs and therefore calls for a healthy correction before perhaps continuing. This severe bearish divergence on all 3 momentum indicators, especially the RSI, tells me we are in for a very strong correction soon.
This does not change the fact that a multi-week bottom is probably in and a major rally phase is underway. All it means is that this severe weakness can be used to close existing short positions and/or establish long positions. But these charts tell me a big selloff, whether it be a correction or a continuation of trend, is coming soon.
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