This Elliott Wave blog is dedicated to sharing Fibonacci ratios and other technical analysis for forex signals, index futures signals, options signals, and stock signals. Elliott Wave Principle puts forth that people move in predictive patterns, called waves. Identify the wave counts, and you can predict the market.
Saturday, March 7, 2009
Silver Short Looking Real Good; March 7, 2009
Here's an updated silver mini 1hr chart showing the rally stopping exactly on the 50% fibo retracement level. The MACD has been declining since almost the very beginning of the rally from the low at $12.42. Gold's momentum indicators are extremely bearish as well. On an intraday basis, gold made 3 slight new highs on Friday but silver actually made 3 new lows! This divergence says "TOP" all over it. I'm heavily short both gold and silver and expect them to plummet soon.
My minimum target for silver is $8.50 (currently $13.38) and my minimum target for gold is $680 (currently at $940).
Do the percentage calculations on those moves and you'll see why I'm so excited about these two trades.
As for the stock market: I have very very small call options in place that I'll let run until their expiration in April if there's not a significant rally. Other than that, I'm standing aside and waiting for signs of a huge rally. The risk of staying short is too great because it's way too crowded a trade right now, and getting long now trying to catch a bottom is a fool's errand. So I'm waiting for an opportunity.
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