This Elliott Wave blog is dedicated to sharing Fibonacci ratios and other technical analysis for forex signals, index futures signals, options signals, and stock signals. Elliott Wave Principle puts forth that people move in predictive patterns, called waves. Identify the wave counts, and you can predict the market.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Looks Like an Ending Diagonal Ended, but Prior Count Unclear; April 20, 2009
From an EWP perspective, it seems clear that an ending diagonal pattern just completed (see above futures chart). Notice the above 4hr S&P futures chart above shows the choppy hard faught rise from March 20th 762 low takes the form of a very nice "ending diagonal" after the decline today. You can see that the pattern is clear and adheres to EWP's rules. In ending diagonals, the are usually followed by a sharp reversal that wastes little time retracing back to at least the beginning of the diagonal. In this case, that area is the 775 level in the S&P futures (see chart above). So after breaking below the parallel trend channel I mentioned in the previous post, I expect the index to charge immediately lower to the 775 where a bottom MAY form.
I remain short the S&P, XLF and various tech stocks (CSCO, INTC and ORCL) through option bear spreads.
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