This Elliott Wave blog is dedicated to sharing Fibonacci ratios and other technical analysis for forex signals, index futures signals, options signals, and stock signals. Elliott Wave Principle puts forth that people move in predictive patterns, called waves. Identify the wave counts, and you can predict the market.
Saturday, July 4, 2009
Head Shoulders Suggests Lower Levels; July 4, 2009
Happy 4th of July all! I'm gonna celebrate America's birthday with a movie and some tri-tip grillin. I hope everyone has a nice enjoyable holiday.
As for the markets, they have not been clear lately but a massive head-n-shoulders pattern has formed on the above 8hr S&P futures chart above. A break of the 885 necklilne will open up the the market to a fall to the 845 level which is a prior congestion area. I added a little to my existing covered call S&P (SDS) strategy on Wednesday, once I saw the market topping in the afternoon. I am about half short of the full position I'd like to be and might add short on any large rallies toward the right shoulder area at 928.
For the head-n-shoulders pattern to hold, the market must stay below 958, but a strong break of 930 on big volume and expanding NYSE breadth would probably signal that 958 will be broken in the near future.
I have half of a full position short the S&P.
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